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Early struggles raise questions about Baker Mayfield’s new contract

Baker Mayfield’s performance through two games has prompted questions about the Tampa Bay quarterback’s $55 million-per-year extension.

Tessa Ortiz

September 23, 20262 min read

Baker Mayfield’s start to the 2026 season has raised questions about the Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ decision to extend him shortly before the season began. The quarterback agreed to a deal worth $55 million per year, but Tampa Bay has opened the season with two losses.

An analysis published by si.com characterized the contract as an overpay based on Mayfield’s early performance. Since 2024, his statistical record includes 27 fumbles, the most among quarterbacks during that span, and 28 interceptions, the second-highest total, according to the report.

Through two games this season, Mayfield has an expected points added mark of negative 21.15, listed as the league’s third-worst figure. He has 398 passing yards, one touchdown, a passer rating of 86.6 and an average of 6.4 yards per attempt.

The report also lists him 28th in passing yards, tied for 28th in touchdown passes, 21st in passer rating and 25th in yards per attempt. He has lost three fumbles and been sacked seven times.

Mayfield’s numbers also include some favorable indicators. He has completed 71% of his passes and thrown one interception through the first two games. The report noted, however, that his ability to make downfield throws has been limited.

Mayfield had said during the offseason contract discussion that he planned to focus on football until the season ended, but the extension was completed just days before the opener. The analysis considered whether the timing could have affected his urgency, while also suggesting that the larger factor may be a change in the offense.

Offensive coordinator Zac Robinson is requiring Mayfield to diagnose plays rather than receiving the same level of pre-snap guidance that the report said he received from Dave Canales and Liam Coen. The analysis also pointed to receivers having difficulty creating separation on intermediate routes, which has contributed to shorter throws before deeper attempts.

Further improvement from Mayfield and the offense will determine whether the early concerns continue, the report said.

Source: si.com.

Sources

Sports Illustrated

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Tessa Ortiz

Tessa Ortiz covers Nocatee high school and area college sports.

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